Group D

United States v Australia

Kickoff: Jun 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· Lumen Field, Seattle· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group D

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.53 / 0.47

Recent form

0.68 / 0.62

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.43

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

48%

26%

27%

USADrawAUS

vs market

54%

25%

21%

USADrawAUS

Edge detectedAUS +6.0 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

USA to win

IQ69

Our model48%

The market54%

Market above model-6.5 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1870Baseline rating1810

68%Form62%

1.6Attack1.3

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.