Group I

Senegal v Iraq

Kickoff: Jun 26, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· BMO Field, Toronto· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I

Senegal v Iraq

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.60 / 0.40

Recent form

0.66 / 0.54

Expected goals

0.47 / 0.33

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.50

Win probability

59%

24%

17%

SENDrawIRQ

vs market

66%

21%

13%

SENDrawIRQ

Edge detectedIRQ +4.5 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

SEN to win

IQ69

Our model59%

The market66%

Market above model-6.8 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1850Baseline rating1700

66%Form54%

1.4Attack1.0

1.1Defense1.5

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.