Group F

Netherlands v Japan

Kickoff: Jun 14, 2026, 4:00 PM ET· AT&T Stadium, Dallas· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F

Netherlands v Japan

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.55 / 0.45

Recent form

0.72 / 0.72

Expected goals

0.60 / 0.53

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.67

Win probability

43%

26%

32%

NEDDrawJPN

vs market

47%

27%

26%

NEDDrawJPN

Edge detectedJPN +5.6 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

NED to win

IQ67

Our model43%

The market47%

Market above model-4.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2000Baseline rating1900

72%Form72%

1.8Attack1.6

1.0Defense1.0

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.