Group A

Mexico v South Africa

Kickoff: Jun 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· Estadio Azteca, Mexico City· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group A

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.56 / 0.44

Recent form

0.66 / 0.60

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.40

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

50%

26%

24%

MEXDrawRSA

vs market

67%

22%

MEXDrawRSA

Edge detectedRSA +12.5 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

MEX to win

IQ85

Our model50%

The market67%

Market above model-16.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1880Baseline rating1770

66%Form60%

1.6Attack1.2

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.