Group I

France v Iraq

Kickoff: Jun 22, 2026, 5:00 PM ET· Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I

France v Iraq

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.69 / 0.31

Recent form

0.74 / 0.54

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.33

Defensive solidity

0.70 / 0.50

Win probability

79%

14%

FRADrawIRQ

vs market

85%

FRADrawIRQ

Edge detectedIRQ +2.9 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

FRA to win

IQ71

Our model79%

The market85%

Market above model-5.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2060Baseline rating1700

74%Form54%

1.9Attack1.0

0.9Defense1.5

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.