Group E

Ecuador v Curaçao

Kickoff: Jun 20, 2026, 8:00 PM ET· Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group E

Ecuador v Curaçao

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.65 / 0.35

Recent form

0.66 / 0.52

Expected goals

0.47 / 0.30

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.47

Win probability

67%

21%

ECUDrawCUW

vs market

79%

15%

ECUDrawCUW

Edge detectedDraw +6.9 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

ECU to win

IQ77

Our model67%

The market79%

Market above model-12.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1860Baseline rating1650

66%Form52%

1.4Attack0.9

1.0Defense1.6

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister fournit des analyses et de la formation, pas des conseils de paris ni des résultats garantis.