Group H

Uruguay v Spain

Kickoff: Jun 26, 2026, 8:00 PM ET· Estadio Akron, Guadalajara· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group H

Uruguay v Spain

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.43 / 0.57

Recent form

0.68 / 0.80

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.70

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.73

Win probability

20%

23%

57%

URUDrawESP

vs market

18%

24%

58%

URUDrawESP

Edge detectedURU +2.0 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

URU to win

IQ62

Our model20%

The market18%

Detected edge+2.0 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1920Baseline rating2080

68%Form80%

1.6Attack2.1

1.0Defense0.8

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.