Group F

Sweden v Tunisia

Kickoff: Jun 14, 2026, 10:00 PM ET· Estadio BBVA, Monterrey· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group F

Sweden v Tunisia

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.52 / 0.48

Recent form

0.62 / 0.58

Expected goals

0.47 / 0.37

Defensive solidity

0.60 / 0.57

Win probability

47%

27%

SWEDrawTUN

vs market

50%

28%

22%

SWEDrawTUN

Edge detectedTUN +4.5 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

SWE to win

IQ65

Our model47%

The market50%

Market above model-3.5 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1820Baseline rating1790

62%Form58%

1.4Attack1.1

1.2Defense1.3

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.