Group K

Portugal v Uzbekistan

Kickoff: Jun 23, 2026, 1:00 PM ET· NRG Stadium, Houston· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group K

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.64 / 0.36

Recent form

0.74 / 0.58

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.37

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.53

Win probability

71%

18%

PORDrawUZB

vs market

76%

16%

PORDrawUZB

Edge detectedUZB +2.6 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

POR to win

IQ68

Our model71%

The market76%

Market above model-4.5 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2010Baseline rating1750

74%Form58%

1.9Attack1.1

1.0Defense1.4

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.