Group D

Paraguay v Australia

Kickoff: Jun 25, 2026, 10:00 PM ET· Levi's Stadium, San Francisco Bay Area· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group D

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.51 / 0.49

Recent form

0.64 / 0.62

Expected goals

0.43 / 0.43

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

39%

28%

33%

PARDrawAUS

vs market

43%

29%

27%

PARDrawAUS

Edge detectedAUS +5.7 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

PAR to win

IQ66

Our model39%

The market43%

Market above model-4.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1820Baseline rating1810

64%Form62%

1.3Attack1.3

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

Lemeister provides analytics and education, not betting advice or guaranteed outcomes.