Group H

Uruguay v Cape Verde

Kickoff: Jun 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET· Hard Rock Stadium, Miami· FS1

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group H

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.62 / 0.38

Recent form

0.68 / 0.58

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.37

Defensive solidity

0.67 / 0.53

Win probability

63%

22%

15%

URUDrawCPV

vs market

65%

22%

13%

URUDrawCPV

Edge detectedCPV +2.1 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

URU to win

IQ64

Our model63%

The market65%

Market above model-2.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1920Baseline rating1720

68%Form58%

1.6Attack1.1

1.0Defense1.4

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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