Group I

France v Senegal

Kickoff: Jun 16, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· MetLife Stadium, New York New Jersey· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I

France v Senegal

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.59 / 0.41

Recent form

0.74 / 0.66

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.47

Defensive solidity

0.70 / 0.63

Win probability

57%

23%

19%

FRADrawSEN

vs market

65%

22%

13%

FRADrawSEN

Edge detectedSEN +6.0 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

FRA to win

IQ72

Our model57%

The market65%

Market above model-7.5 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2060Baseline rating1850

74%Form66%

1.9Attack1.4

0.9Defense1.1

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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