Group I

France v Iraq

Kickoff: Jun 22, 2026, 5:00 PM ET· Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group I

France v Iraq

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.69 / 0.31

Recent form

0.74 / 0.54

Expected goals

0.63 / 0.33

Defensive solidity

0.70 / 0.50

Win probability

79%

14%

FRADrawIRQ

vs market

85%

FRADrawIRQ

Edge detectedIRQ +2.9 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

FRA to win

IQ71

Our model79%

The market85%

Market above model-5.6 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

2060Baseline rating1700

74%Form54%

1.9Attack1.0

0.9Defense1.5

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

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