Group A

Mexico v South Africa

Kickoff: Jun 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET· Estadio Azteca, Mexico City· Fox

FIFA World Cup 2026 · Group A

MeisterIQ

Model inputs

Elo rating

0.56 / 0.44

Recent form

0.66 / 0.60

Expected goals

0.53 / 0.40

Defensive solidity

0.63 / 0.60

Win probability

50%

26%

24%

MEXDrawRSA

vs market

67%

22%

MEXDrawRSA

Edge detectedRSA +12.5 pts

We show our work

Model versus market

MEX to win

IQ85

Our model50%

The market67%

Market above model-16.4 pts

Lemeisterlemeister.com

Head to head

1880Baseline rating1770

66%Form60%

1.6Attack1.2

1.1Defense1.2

Probabilities and ratings are Lemeister baseline model estimates. Live data takes precedence as it settles.

تقدم Lemeister تحليلات وتثقيفًا، وليست نصائح للمراهنة أو نتائج مضمونة.